The Single Most Important Chart in the World is Flashing “Danger”

Posted on August 27, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The single most important chart in the world is flashing “danger.”

The defining issue of the last ~45 years has been the secular bull market in bonds. From 1980 until 2022, the yield on the U.S. debt (called Treasuries) was in a downtrend. In the very simplest of terms, this meant that throughout this time period, debt became ever cheaper to service. As a result of this, every entity in the U.S. whether it be corporations, municipalities, and even the U.S. itself as a sovereign nation, went on a debt binge.

Today, there is there is $3.4 trillion in municipal debt, $14 trillion in corporate debt, $20 trillion in household debt, and $37 trillion in Federal debt outstanding. Throw in student debt, auto loans, and every other kind of future liability and the U.S. is sitting on over $100 trillion in debt.

All of these are problematic, but the SYSTEMIC issue pertains to U.S. sovereign debt.

It took the U.S. 232 years to hit $10 trillion in debt. It added its second $10 trillion in debt in just nine years. It added its third $10 trillion in five years. And at its current pace, it will hit $40 trillion in debt within the next 24 months.

To be clear, the U.S. has had a debt problem for years. That’s nothing new. What IS new is that the bull market in bonds, the macro setup that allowed the U.S. to issue all this debt is OVER.

I showed this chart yesterday. I’m showing it again today because it is THE most important chart in the world. It’s a chart of the 30-Year U.S. Treasury. As you can see, the bull market in bonds is OVER. When inflation arrived in the financial system in 2022, it triggered a tectonic change.

Put another way, the era of ever cheaper debt is OVER. For the first time in 45 years, it is costing the U.S. MORE to issue new debt (or roll over old debt).

So why hasn’t the U.S. entered a debt crisis yet?

Because these bonds have been consolidating since 2022. And the next move will determine whether the U.S. stays afloat, or the great debt crisis of our lifetimes is about to begin.

See for yourself.

From 2022 until today, the long-end of the Treasury market has been trading in a range (purple rectangle in the chart below). This is called a consolidation period. And it’s 100% to be expected after a bull market ends (no asset goes straight up or down in the markets.).

What happens next is CRITICAL. If these bonds break down from this consolidation, it signals that the grand Supercycle in bonds is OVER and a secular bear market has begun.

In the very simplest of terms, the Everything Bubble would have burst and the great debt crisis of our lifetimes would begin. I’m not writing that to scare you, but because, again, this is THE most important issue in the financial system today. And smart investors need to be preparing for this BEFORE it happens.

This is literally a ONCE in a lifetime opportunity. The U.S. has had a debt problem for decades… but the great inflationary collapse looks to finally be arriving now.

On that note, we are putting the finishing touches on a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Debt Bomb, Inflation, The Everything Bubble | Comments Off on The Single Most Important Chart in the World is Flashing “Danger”

The “King of Cheap Debt” is Going to Unleash an Inflationary Storm

Posted on August 26, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The self-proclaimed “King of Cheap Debt” President Trump is going to run the economy hot… no matter the consequences.

The U.S. is currently running a $3 trillion deficit. What’s astonishing is that the U.S. is doing this despite taking in over $150 billion in tariff revenue. Put another way, DESPITE revenues increasing, the Trump administration is still spending so much money that the deficit as a percentage of GDP is rolling over again.

On top of this, the Trump administration has made it clear it wants stocks in a bubble. The President is openly calling for the Fed to cut rates even though the stock market is already at all-time highs!

Not content with mere verbal aggression, the Trump administration is taking active steps to co-opt the Fed. The most recent move consisted of firing Fed Governor Lisa Cook for mortgage fraud. This is definitively an appropriate move (Fed governors are not above the law), but more importantly, it opens the door for the President to “stack” the Fed board with handpicked individuals (he recently installed former Chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Stephen Miran to replace Fed Governor Adriana Kugler who resigned earlier this year). As a result of this, the majority of voting Fed members will soon be Trump picks who are all too eager to start cutting rates and printing money again.

Put simply, the President is going to FORCE the Fed to ease one way or another. And this, combined with the Trump administration’s fiscal spending, is opening the door to a monstrous stock market bubble AND an inflationary storm.

Bonds have figured out what’s coming: the 30-year U.S. Treasury has broken its secular bull market and is now consolidating around at levels not seen since 2008. If this bond breaks down further from here, the U.S. will enter an inflationary storm.

THIS is why precious metals are trading at all-time highs. It’s why prices keep rising throughout the U.S. economy no matter what the official data says. And it’s why you NEED to take action now to prepare your portfolio for what’s coming.

This is literally a ONCE in a lifetime opportunity. The U.S. has had a debt problem for decades… but the great inflationary collapse looks to finally be arriving now.

On that note, we are putting the finishing touches on a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead.

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

CLICK HERE NOW!

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on The “King of Cheap Debt” is Going to Unleash an Inflationary Storm

Stocks Erupt Higher… But Is This Move the REAL Deal?

Posted on August 25, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

On Friday, I wrote, “buckle up, the Fed is about to make a MAJOR announcement.

I wasn’t joking.

Stocks EXPLODED higher to new all-time highs on Friday when Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that “shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting policy” during his speech at the Kansas City Fed’s annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Investors took this to mean that the Fed is finally ready to start cutting rates again… after sitting on its hands for the last eight months.

The S&P 500 staged its highest ever weekly close. There is NOTHING bearish about that.

Moreover, the rally was broad based in nature with even the equal weighted S&P 500 (each company receives 1/500th of the index’s weighting as opposed to the traditional S&P 500 which is HEAVILY weighted towards tech) closing at a new all-time high for the week.

The big question for investors now is whether this move is the REAL DEAL… or the mother of all head fakes due to traders misinterpreting what Fed Chair Jerome Powell ACTUALLY said.

I’ll detail what I think is REALLY happening in tomorrow’s article. In the meantime, I want to warn you that while Wall Street is cheering this move, our proprietary Crash indicator is signaling a major warning.

This signal caught the 1987 crash, the Tech Crash, the Great Financial Crisis and more. We detail this trigger, how it works, and what it’s saying about the markets today in How to Predict a Crash.

Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of its recent warning, we’re making 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on Stocks Erupt Higher… But Is This Move the REAL Deal?

The Ultimate Insider Pulls Back the Curtain on Our Financial System

Posted on August 21, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The ONLY way to get ahead in our financial system is to invest.

I’m not writing that for dramatic effect. The reality is that the financial system is set up to accomplish one thing: devalue the $USD.

See for yourself… Since the Fed embarked on its campaign to reflate the financial system after the Great Financial Crisis, the $USD has lost over a THIRD of its purchasing power.

Put simply… if you’re sitting in cash, you’re losing money every single year. In this context, the ONLY way to actually grow your wealth is to invest in assets. And if you don’t believe me, maybe you’ll believe Janet Yellen, who served as both the Chair of the Federal Reserve AND the Treasury Secretary.

Ms. Yellen is the ULTIMATE insider… someone who has personally managed the economy and the $USD.

Back in 2014, when she was running the Fed, Ms. Yellen gave a speech Perspectives on Inequality and Opportunity from the Survey of Consumer Finance. During the speech, Ms. Yellen pointed out that owning assets/ investing is essential to growing wealth.

Specifically, she said…

Another major source of wealth for many families is financial assets, including stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and private pensions…

For many people, the opportunity to build a business has long been an important part of the American dream. In addition to housing and financial assets, the SCF shows that ownership of private businesses is a significant source of wealth and can be a vital source of opportunity for many households to improve their economic circumstances and position in the wealth distribution.

Source: FederalReserve.gov

As if this wasn’t explicit enough, during the Question and Answer session following the speech, Ms. Yellen stated that acquiring assets was one of the best means of moving higher in wealth.

Since the time in which she gave this speech, the stock market is up over 220%, gold is up 180% and the $USD is essentially flat (actually it’s DOWN adjusted for inflation).

THIS is why the Fed props up the stock market… it’s why the Fed moves to intervene anytime a major asset class begins to implode… and it’s why you HAVE to prepare for what’s coming down the pike.

The ONLY thing the Fed knows how to do is print money. This devalues the $USD. So, if you stay in cash, you WILL lose money and fall behind.

This is especially true as the $USD is on the verge of a MAJOR breakdown. I’ve shown this chart before. There’s a reason I’m showing it again: this is the SINGLE most important chart in our financial system today. When the $USD takes out that trendline, it will enter a secular bear market. And this will ignite an inflationary storm.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before it does! Some investments will make absolute fortunes. Others will drop like stones.

If you’ve yet to take action to insure you and your portfolio profit from this, we detail three unique investments that will EXPLODE higher during the next wave of inflation in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit a Inflation.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on The Ultimate Insider Pulls Back the Curtain on Our Financial System

Is the AI Bubble About to Burst?

Posted on August 20, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

It’s said that “they don’t ring a bell at the top.”

Well, there sure seem to be a LOT of bells coming from the AI revolution.

First and foremost, OpenAI founder Sam Altman, openly admitted AI is in a bubble even going so far as to compare the current market environment to that of the 1999 tech bubble.

Altman told The Verge…

“Are we in a phase where investors as a whole are overexcited about AI? My opinion is yes. Is AI the most important thing to happen in a very long time? My opinion is also yes.”

That is one HECK of a statement from a major AI insider. Remember, OpenAI was the company that introduced Large Language Models (LLMs) to the general public in November 2022 when it launched ChatGPT. So to see Altman admitting AI is in a bubble, that investors are overexcited, and that there are some similarities between today’s market and that of the Tech Bubble of the late-90s, is massive deal.

Altman is not mistaken here. The latest ChatGPT roll out (ChatGPT 5) was a disaster, with the software producing hallucination 33% of the time. This included basic queries that involved public information. Indeed, situation was so bad that OpenAI actually canceled the rollout and shifted back to ChatGPT 4.

This is not the only major disappointment to hit the AI world in the last month. AI models from Google, and Chinese startup DeepSeek are also experiencing MORE errors, not fewer as they become more powerful. Indeed, it appears that the more advanced the models become, the more problems they produce: Meta’s (META) latest LLM rollout (Llama 4) apparently had accuracy rates as low as 28%!

Some other major issues of note.

Reports have surfaced suggesting that LLMs obtain as much as 40% of their information from informal sources such Reddit. This raises questions as to just how accurate these models can be. After all, no matter how robust your model is, if it’s getting bad inputs, its results will be poor.

Other items to be aware of…

No other company has been as aggressive in hiring AI talent as META. CEO Mark Zuckerberg was personally involved in the process, offering deals as large as EIGHT figures (tens of millions) to poach AI talent from Apple, OpenAI and Alphabet.

In that light, it’s deeply concerning that META just announced a reshuffling of its AI division only two months after going on that hiring spree. Indeed, the company has burned through $32 billion in capital expenditures on its AI buildout during the first half of 2025. This represents 72% of the company’s cash hoard, bringing cash and cash equivalents down to just $12 billion.

And then, finally, MIT just published a report The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025 that was EXTREMELY concerning for anyone betting on AI changing everything for the better.

Some key findings…

  • 95% of generative AI rollouts produce little to no revenue acceleration.
  • The learning gap is so large between the technology and corporate employees that integrations are failing at a rapid clip.
  • Internal buildouts at large companies only work one third of the time.
  • Even external partnerships with AI-centric firms only work two thirds of the time,

I bring all of this up, because the ENTIRE bull market in stocks has been predicated on the AI revolution producing rapid results. If you need signs that stocks are in massive bubble based on unrealistic growth expectations, consider that the S&P 500 is trading at a Price to Sales multiple of 3.4. This is even greater than the P/S multiple of the 2021 pandemic bubble when the Fed was printing TRILLIONS of dollars per year and interest rates were at zero!

If you’re worried about the AI bubble bursting, triggering a stock market crash, we have a proprietary indicator that has flashed before EVERY major market meltdown in the last 50 years.

We detail this trigger, how it works, and what it’s saying about the markets today in How to Predict a Crash. Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening with the Fed today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI, stock collapse? | Comments Off on Is the AI Bubble About to Burst?

Is Your Portfolio Prepared For Another Inflationary Storm?

Posted on August 19, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The latest round of inflation data was VERY troubling. 

The headline numbers for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of July pointed to a slowdown in inflation: month over month (MoM), CPI came in at 0.2% while year ov er year (YoY) at 2.7% on expectations of 0.2% and 2.8%, respectively. 

However, “under the hood” the data was HIGHLY problematic.

For starters, Core-CPI (CPI excluding energy and food prices) came in hotter than expected at 3.1% YoY on expectations of 3.0%. Granted, this is a very small upside surprise, but the devil’s in the details and the details point towards inflation stabilizing at 3%, NOT heading towards the Fed’s target of 2%.

Case in point as Mike Konczal points out, the percentage of Core-CPI components that are clocking in at an annualized rate of 3% is RISING, not falling. The month of July saw 52% of the 83 items comprising Core-CPI growing at an annualized rate of over 3%!

Core-CPI is not the only problem area in the data. Over two thirds (68%) of total CPI components (including food and energy prices) are now rising at a faster than 2% annualized rate. The initial disinflationary wave that occurring during the first half of 2025 has reversed and prices are now rising for MOST CPI components. This means inflationary pressure is BROADENING, which is a BIG problem.

Finally, we have to consider what food inflation is saying. As I’ve noted before, back in 2001, the Fed had several researchers dive into the subject of inflation. Their goal was the analyze whether the Fed’s preferred measures of inflation (CPI and PCE) are decent predictors of future inflation. The Fed also investigated a whole slew of other inflation measures for comparison purposes.

The results?

The Fed found that food inflation, NOT CPI or PCE, was the best predictor of future inflation. Fed researchers wrote the following:

We see that past inflation in food prices has been a better forecaster of future inflation than has the popular core measure [CPI and PCE]…Comparing the past year’s inflation in food prices to the prices of other components that comprise the PCEPI (as in Table 1), we find that the food component still ranks the best among them all…

Source: St Louis Fed (emphasis added).

I bring this up because the Producer Price Index (PPI) data for the month of July was released this morning. It showed a HUGE jump in food prices MoM. Fresh and dry vegetables prices jumped 38% while meat prices jumped 5%!

Put simply, while headline inflation data suggests that inflation has been tamed, the actual components in the data suggest that an inflationary resurgence may be starting and that it will involve price increases in a BROAD array of items. Throw in the fact that the single best predictor of future inflation (food inflation) just jumped higher on a month over month basis and there is REAL cause for concern that another wave of inflation might be starting.

The time to prepare for this is NOW before it does! Some investments will make absolute fortunes. Others will drop like stones.

I can help you find the former while avoiding the latter.

We detail three unique investments that will EXPLODE higher during the next wave of inflation in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit a Inflation.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on Is Your Portfolio Prepared For Another Inflationary Storm?

The Time To Prepare is NOW… Before This Hits!

Posted on August 18, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The financial system is preparing to enter an inflationary induced melt-down.

The reality is that central bankers and other policy makers, for all their advanced degrees and big ideas, are really capable of doing just one thing…

Printing money.

Quantitative Easing (QE), Yield Curve Control (YCC), Operation Twist, Mortgage-Backed Securities buying programs… all of these phrases are just fancy ways of saying “print money.”

This became obvious during the pandemic, when central banks and governments funneled over $20 trillion into the financial system in the span of 20 months. Sure, the money was dressed up with fancy titles, but it all just boiled down to printing money and giving it away in one form or another.

That unleashed the worst bout of inflation in 40 years. And today, we’re still paying for this.

According to the “official” data points, inflation has been defeated. But that’s ONLY because inflation is measured on a Year over Year (YoY) basis. In that context, the pace of price increases is slowing. However, prices are still increasing!

See for yourself. CPI is moving up at a near perfect 45-degree angle. Prices are NOT coming down. Inflation has not disappeared. If anything, it’s about to worsen!

Globally central banks have already embarked on the next round of monetary easing. The Bank of England (BoE) has cut rates FIVE times since August 2024. The European Central Bank (ECB) has cut rates EIGHT times over the same time period. The Bank of Canada (BoC) has cut rates seven times. And in Switzerland, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has cut rates down to 0% again!

The Fed and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are the last two hold outs. But they’ll be easing soon enough. And the markets know it.

Gold is at or near record highs when priced in every major currency.

Stocks, which are also an inflationary hedge (to a degree) are entering an inflation-induced meltup.

And the $USD, which is the global reserve currency, is on the verge of a MAJOR breakdown.

Put simple, multiple asset classes are all signaling the same thing: inflation is coming back. The time to prepare for this is NOW before it does!

Some investments will make absolute fortunes. Others will drop like stones.

I can help you find the former while avoiding the latter.

We detail three unique investments that will EXPLODE higher during the next wave of inflation in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit a Inflation.

Normally this report is only available to our paying clients, but in light of what’s happening in the markets today, we are making just 99 copies available to the general public.

To pick up one of the remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation | Comments Off on The Time To Prepare is NOW… Before This Hits!

Market Update: Are the Lows In Already… or Will Stocks Drop Even Further?

Posted on August 4, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

I warned time and again that a correction was coming.

The signals were all there. Market leading metrics were rolling over. Multiple asset classes were signaling that a “risk off” move was coming. And stocks were entering a period that has historically been weak.

All the markets needed was a trigger.

That trigger arrived on Friday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that ~250,000 of the jobs created in the last three months were in fact fake. July’s jobs numbers came in at 73,000, well below estimates of 104,000 while June and May’s numbers were revised DOWN 133,000 and 125,000, respectively.

The S&P 500 promptly erased a month’s worth of gains in a day.

Momentum plays like RobinHood Markets (HOOD) fell even harder, losing over 3% in a single day. Even worse, despite a clear intervention to push the markets higher, HOOD was rejected by former support, signaling that it is now overhead resistance. This is a clear signal that the market’s dynamics have changed, and the markets are now in “risk off.”

Indeed, the selling pressure was so intense that stocks became oversold in the very short-term. However, I would be VERY careful about assuming the lows are in. The markets have gone straight up for nearly three months. And a single day of selling isn’t enough to reset things enough for the next major leg higher.

Consider that the rally from the April lows left three open gaps. The S&P 500 hasn’t even closed one yet. And truthfully, I wouldn’t be surprised to see stocks gradually work their way lower to close at least two of these in the next few weeks.

So again, I urge you not to rush back into the markets right now. Indeed, rather than looking to buy stocks aggressively, investors should focus on answering one question:

Will this be a garden variety correction…or are stocks about to roll over and REALLY collapse?

To answer that, we rely on a proprietary market timing trigger that has caught every market meltdown of the last 45 years. We detail it, how it works, and what it’s currently saying about the markets in a special investment report How to Predict a Crash. If you’re looking for a clear signal of when to get out of the markets, this is it!

Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on Market Update: Are the Lows In Already… or Will Stocks Drop Even Further?

The Correction is Finally Here!

Posted on August 1, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

The correction is finally here.

Over the last week, I’ve been warning that stocks were due for a pullback, if not a correction. Some of the red flags I noted were:

  1. The S&P 500 has formed a clear rising wedge formation. Stocks had to go parabolic to the upside or correct. With the market up 30% from the lows, and overbought on a daily and weekly basis, the odds favor the latter outcome.
  1. Stocks were extremely extended above key moving averages. Historically, this degree of overextension above the short-term and intermediate term trend has resulted in a period of consolidation if not a short-term top.
  1. Market leading metrics (high yield credit, breadth) had begun to roll over, suggesting stocks would do so soon.
  1. Historically, August has been a poor month for stocks during a President’s 2nd term. As Ryan Detrick notes, the average August performance under these conditions is DOWN 3.4%.
  1. Multiple companies Visa (V) and Alphabet (GOOGL) had seen their shares slide despite posting fantastic results. This signaled that the market rally was exhausted.

Finally, yesterday I warned investors to keep a close eye on Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT). Both companies announced double beats (beating revenues and EPS expectations) on Wednesday evening. As a result of this, META and MSFT shares exploded higher in the after hours.

I warned that if META and MSFT shares couldn’t hold on to their gains, that the correction was finally here. And sure enough, both companies saw their shares close near the lows of the day, giving up considerable gains in the process.

META:

MSFT:

This, along with overall market weakness, resulted in the S&P 500 breaking out of its rising wedge formation to the downside. From a purely technical analysis perspective, it would not be unusual for the S&P 500 to decline to 6,000 or even lower.

The big question is what happens there. Specifically, is this just a dip that should be bought… or are stocks about to roll over and REALLY collapse?

To answer that, we rely on a proprietary market timing trigger that has caught every market meltdown of the last 45 years. We detail it, how it works, and what it’s currently saying about the markets in a special investment report How to Predict a Crash. If you’re looking for a clear signal of when to get out of the markets, this is it!

Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on The Correction is Finally Here!

Worried About a Correction? Keep an Eye on These Warning Signs!

Posted on July 31, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

Today will be a critical day for the markets.

Stocks are rallying hard this morning on Meta’s (META) and Microsoft’s (MSFT) fantastic quarterly results. META posted a double beat with revenues of $47.52 billion, beating the expected $44.83 billion, while adjusted EPS hit $7.14 beating analyst estimates of $5.90.

MSFT also posted a double beat, with revenues of $76.4 billion, exceeding the anticipated $73.81 billion, and adjusted EPS of $3.65, beating the consensus estimate of $3.37. 

META shares are up 11% in the after-hours while MSFT is up 8%. And given that they are the 2nd and 5th largest companies in the S&P 500 index, these moves are dragging the overall index higher.

What happens here is critical.

We’ve previously noted numerous red flags for this market rally off the April lows. Specifically, we’ve noted that:

  1. The S&P 500 has formed a clear rising wedge formation. Stocks must now go parabolic to the upside or correct. With the market up 30% from the lows, and overbought on a daily and weekly basis, the odds favor the latter outcome.
  1. Stocks are extremely extended above key moving averages. Historically, this degree of overextension above the short-term and intermediate term trend has resulted in a period of consolidation if not a short-term top.
  1. Market leading metrics (high yield credit, breadth) have begun to roll over, suggesting stocks will do so soon.
  1. Historically, August has been a poor month for stocks during a President’s 2nd term. As Ryan Detrick has noted, the average August performance under these conditions is DOWN 3.4%.

And finally…

  1. Other companies, most notably Visa (V) and Alphabet (GOOGL) have seen their shares slide after posting fantastic results.

In light of the above issues, what happens with MSFT and META shares today will be vital to note. If they cannot hold on to their after-hours gains, we’ll know that this market rally is indeed exhausted and that it’s time for a correction.

So, keep an eye on both… I certainly will be!

It stocks begin to break down, the most critical question for investors will be:

Is this just a dip that should be bought… or are stocks about to roll over and REALLY collapse?

To answer that, we rely on a proprietary market timing trigger that has caught every market meltdown of the last 45 years. We detail it, how it works, and what it’s currently saying about the markets in a special investment report How to Predict a Crash. If you’re looking for a clear signal of when to get out of the markets, this is it!

Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on Worried About a Correction? Keep an Eye on These Warning Signs!

If You’re Getting Ready to Buy Stocks… Read This First!

Posted on July 30, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

In our last two articles, we’ve noted that now is NOT the time to be aggressively deploying capital into the stock markets.

Sure, stocks have hit a series of new all-time highs… but this market rally is getting VERY long in the tooth. And the risk/ reward framework suggests waiting for a pullback/dip before adding to long positions.

Some of the warning signals we’ve noted:

  1. The S&P 500 has formed a clear rising wedge formation. Stocks must now go parabolic to the upside or correct. With the market up 30% from the lows, and overbought on a daily and weekly basis, the odds favor the latter outcome.
  1. Stocks are extremely extended above key moving averages. Historically, this degree of overextension above the short-term and intermediate term trend has resulted in a period of consolidation if not a short-term top.
  1. Market leading metrics (high yield credit, breadth) have begun to roll over, suggesting stocks will do so soon.
  1. Historically, August has been a poor month for stocks during a President’s 2nd term. As Ryan Detrick has noted, the average August performance under these conditions is DOWN 3.4%.

We get additional signals that stocks are due to correct from earnings.

In the last week, multiple companies have announced spectacular quarterly results, only for their stocks to sell off.

Visa (V) reported revenue growth of 14% and Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth of 23% for its 1Q25 results. The stock dropped almost 2% in the after-hours.

Similarly, Alphabet (GOOGL) beat both revenues and EPS expectations… but couldn’t hold on to its gains despite these stellar results. Once the market opened the next day, GOOGL shares promptly sold off and spend most the day at the lows.

When companies report spectacular results and can’t catch a bid… it’s a major signal that a stock market rally is getting exhausted. So again, I urge you NOT to put a lot of capital to work right now, but instead to wait for the next major buying opportunity.

The big question is if the inevitable pullback will be a garden variety correction or the start of something worse: the AI bubble bursting and a market collapse.

To answer that, we rely on a proprietary market timing trigger that has caught every market meltdown of the last 45 years. We detail it, how it works, and what it’s currently saying about the markets in a special investment report How to Predict a Crash. If you’re looking for a clear signal of when to get out of the markets, this is it!

Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on If You’re Getting Ready to Buy Stocks… Read This First!

Three Red Flags Investors Need to Be Aware Of

Posted on July 29, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

As I warned yesterday, this market rally is extremely tired.

Stocks have gone straight up for three months. Trough to peak the S&P 500 is up over 30%. And has gone over 60 days without touching its 20-DMA. This is NOT normal market action and a consolidation if not a correction is long overdue. Indeed, the last time the S&P 500 had a streak such as this, was during the Dot Com Bubble!

Numerous red flags are now pointing towards a pullback hitting.

First and foremost, high yield credit which typically leads stocks (note how the red line led the black line during this recent rally) has already begun to roll over.

Secondly, market breadth, another metric that typically leads the overall index, has begun to roll over. Here again, this is a red flag that a pullback is coming shortly.

Finally, seasonals and historical trends are favoring a pullback. As Ryan Detrick notes, August is typically a weak month during the second term of a President. The average return is DOWN 3.4%.

Add if all up and numerous signals point towards a pullback if not a correction hitting shortly. 

The big question is if the inevitable pullback will be a garden variety correction or the start of something worse: the bubble bursting and a crash.

To answer that, we rely on a proprietary market timing trigger that has caught every crisis of the last 45 years. We detail it, how it works, and what it’s currently saying about the markets in a special investment report How to Predict a Crash.

Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on Three Red Flags Investors Need to Be Aware Of

Here’s How You Profit From the Market’s Next Major Move

Posted on July 28, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The Trump administration has announced multiple trade deals in the last few weeks.

Last week it was Japan, Indonesia and the Philippines. This week it’s the European Union (EU). One by one, nations are lining up to make deals with the U.S. And the deals are heavily in favor of the U.S., NOT the other nations.

Case in point, consider the details of the trade deal with the EU announced over the weekend.

  • The U.S. will impose tariffs of 15% on all imports from the EU, except pharmaceuticals.
  • The EU will impose tariffs of 0% on US goods, except automobiles which will face a 15% tariff.
  • The EU will also purchase some $750 million in energy AND invest up to $600 billion in the U.S.

Frankly, this is an extremely lopsided deal in favor of the US… which is not too surprising given that the US is the top exporter nation for the EU. Take away US markets from EU exporters and the EU has a REAL problem. Still, it’s astonishing how many analysts and strategists believed that the US was going to be the loser in these negotiations.

Which brings us to the markets.

Stocks have climbed a wall of worry driven as they discounted these deals. They are now extremely overbought and more than due for a pullback. Indeed, the S&P 500 has formed a clear rising wedge formation, which is usually a bearish development. A breakout is coming… and the bulls better hope it’s UP, not down.

Indeed, the S&P 500 is now over 4% above its 10-week moving average (the same as the 50-DMA) and 9% above the 40-WMA (the same as the 200-DMA). Over the last three years, anytime stocks were this stretched to the upside, they corrected, usually well below the 10-WMA/ 50-DMA.

The big question is if the inevitable pullback will be a garden variety correction or the start of something worse: the bubble bursting and a crash.

To answer that, we rely on a proprietary market timing trigger that has caught every crisis of the last 45 years. We detail it, how it works, and what it’s currently saying about the markets in a special investment report How to Predict a Crash.

Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in stock collapse? | Comments Off on Here’s How You Profit From the Market’s Next Major Move

Meme Mania is Back… Another Bubble Is Here!

Posted on July 25, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

As we noted yesterday, stocks are bubbling up.

The meme stock craze of 2021 is back with unprofitable, financially unstable companies soaring in value. First it was Opendoor Technologies (OPEN). But now Krispy Kreme (DNUT), Kohl’s (KSS) and GoPro (GPRO) are joining in.  These stocks are all up near triple digits this week on massive short-squeezes.

Moreover, the overall indices are getting VERY richly valued. The S&P 500 has a P/E of 30, which is nearly TWO TIMES the average P/E of 16. The only time the index has sported a higher P/E was during the Tech Bubble, the bottom of the Great Financial Crisis (because profits evaporated) and during the Pandemic Bubble (ditto).

Meme mania back with excessive speculation? Check.

Stock market extremely overvalued? Check.

Yep, this is a bubble.

With this in mind, investors should ride the current bull market in stocks while keeping one eye on the exits. We are urging our clients to do precisely this with a tool we’ve developed that has accurately predicted every major market collapse in the last 40 years.

We detail it, how it works and what it’s saying about the markets today in How to Predict a Crash. Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in The Everything Bubble | Comments Off on Meme Mania is Back… Another Bubble Is Here!

Stocks Are Bubbling… and We All Know How It Will End

Posted on July 24, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The stock market is in melt up mode… with the markets entering bubble territory. And it’s going to end in disaster.

The S&P 500 has now gone 62 days without touching is 20-day moving average (DMA). There have been intraday moves where the index briefly touched the line, but we haven’t had a daily close on it in over two months.

This hasn’t happened since the Dot Com bubble in the late 1990s.

Similarly, the S&P 500 is ~4% above its 10-week moving average (the same as the 50-DMA) and ~8% above its 40-WMA (the same as the 200-DMA). Historically, these levels of extension above the intermediate and long-term trend have marked short-term tops, or at least periods of consolidation. They’re not this time… which again suggests a bubble is forming.

And finally, we are back to the meme stock days where companies with poor to awful fundamentals are exploding higher by hundreds of percentage points. The latest example is Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) which, despite never earning a cent in net income, has rallied over 400% in the last week or so.

When will this end? I have no idea… but we all know HOW it will end: in disaster as every mania does.

This is when BIG money can be made.

With this in mind, investors should ride the current bull market in stocks while keeping one eye on the exits. We are urging our clients to do precisely this with a tool we’ve developed that has accurately predicted every major market collapse in the last 40 years.

We detail it, how it works and what it’s saying about the markets today in How to Predict a Crash. Normally we’d sell this report for $499, but in light of what’s happening in markets today, we’re making just 99 copies available to the investing public.

To pick one up…

CLICK HERE NOW!

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Central Bank Insanity, Debt Bomb | Comments Off on Stocks Are Bubbling… and We All Know How It Will End

How AI Can Fix This $5.6 TRILLION Industry

Posted on July 23, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

As I keep emphasizing, the AI revolution is still in the early stages. And it’s barely in the 1st or 2nd inning for healthcare. So the upside potential is massive.

Previously, we’ve noted that:

  1. Big pharma is teaming up with companies like NVIDIA for everything from drug development to trial modeling and more.
  2. Machine learning using AI is proving to be as good if not better than physicians at reading/ diagnosing patients based on data or images (X-rays, MRIs, CT scans).
  3. AI is being used to map individual genomes to allow for truly tailored care for patients.

Despite the potential here, adoption is slow going: the Elsevier’s Clinician of the Future survey for 2025 noted that less than one in three (32%) of clinicians feel their organizations provided adequate access to AI tools and technologies. And only 16% of them are currently using AI to make clinical decisions!

16%. Less than one in five.

Moreover, patients are proving reticent to trust AI with healthcare decisions. Research by theUniversity of Michigan’s Institute for Healthcare Policy and Innovation found that only 4% of patients have “a lot of trust” in AI-generated information while nearly HALF (47%) have “little to no trust” in it!

So, we have doctors who want to use AI, but don’t have access to it… and patients who don’t trust AI and believe the information it presents isn’t accurate. This is to be expected with new technology. If less than one in five clinicians are even using AI, how on earth can you expect patients to trust it or be familiar with it in a medical setting?!?!

So again, AI adoption in healthcare is in the VERY early stages. But this is where THE BIG money will be made in the coming months and years. AI healthcare spending will grow from $26 billion to over $187 billion in the next five years alone. And frankly I believe these forecasts are underestimating the true scale of demand.

Consider…

The US population over the age of 65 now accounts for 17% of the total US population. In 1920, it was only 5%. Total US healthcare spending is expected to hit $8.6 TRILLION by 2033, up from $5.6 trillion today. At that point healthcare spending will account for 20% of US GDP.

This massive demand is running into shortages. TheElsevier survey mentioned earlier notes that nearly one in three (28%) of clinicians already say they did not have enough time to deliver quality care to each patient!

This is only going to get worse.

The American Hospital Association estimates that the industry will face a shortage of up to 124,000 physicians by 2033, and it will need to hire at least 200,000 nurses a year to meet rising demands.

AI can fix this, but to do it will need widespread adoption… Which means AI healthcare companies making a LOT of money in the future. But as usual, Wall Street is ignoring the potential here.

Healthcare as an investment has been declared DEAD. While the S&P 500 index and NASDAQ have hit all-time highs, the healthcare ETF peaked in 2024 and is effectively in a bear market, down 19% from its peak.

Indeed, the ratio of the healthcare ETF to the overall index  (XLV: $SPX) is at trading at levels last seen in 2009! This entire sector of the market has been left for dead.

So, we have growing demand, supply shortages, and an entire sector that has been left for dead… with a revolutionary technology that is in the very early stages of adoption.

This is when BIG money can be made.

So, if you feel you’ve missed out on AI as an investment, you’re very much mistaken. There is tremendous potential (and profits) here. Even a handful of AI-related healthcare plays could generate major returns in the next three to five years.

On that note, we have published a special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About detailing three unique investments designed to profit from the ongoing revolution in AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off on How AI Can Fix This $5.6 TRILLION Industry

Is the Almighty Dollar About to Fall From Grace?

Posted on July 22, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

by Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

The $USD is in serious trouble.

The greenback declined 12% in the first six months of 2025. This is the worst six month start for the dollar since 1973. And unfortunately, it doesn’t look as if things are about to improve any time soon.

The dollar has been in a clear downtrend (blue lines in the chart below) since the start of the year. And despite such a steep decline, the $USD is failing to even mount a decent bounce: it was clearly rejected by overhead resistance (red line in the chart below) just last week. This is EXTREMELY bearish.

Zooming out, it is clear just how significant this is. The $USD is sitting on a 15-year trendline. If it breaks this, then we can expect a very significant move lower.

This is a huge deal. The $USD has been weak for months… but a break of this trendline would herald the start of a prolonged bear market. And that would have massive implications for numerous asset classes.

Consider that gold has already hit a record high courtesy of the $USD’s weakness in the last six months. Can you imagine what gold, silver and other dollar hedges would do if the dollar broke down here?

Suffice to say, there is the opportunity to make a LOT of money here. With the right investments, an investor could turn the coming collapse in the $USD into life-changing profits.

If you’re looking for unique investments to profit from this, we recently detailed three investments that will profit beautifully from a weak $USD in a Special Investment Report titled How to Profit From Inflation..

We made 99 copies available to the general public. As I write this, there are only 27 left.

To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW.

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in Inflation, Weak $USD | Comments Off on Is the Almighty Dollar About to Fall From Grace?

The Coming $187 BILLION Revolution in Healthcare Courtesy of AI

Posted on July 21, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

I keep pounding the table on the implications of AI for healthcare.

My primary point: AI’s biggest impact will be in healthcare, NOT tech.

We’ve already noted that AI is being used in drug discovery, development, and even modeling with big pharma companies like Novo Nordisk announcing partnerships with Nvidia. Moreover, AI tools are capable to accurately diagnosing complicated medical conditions, reading MRIs/ X-rays and even acting as lab assistants.

AI is also being used to improve quality of care for patients. The healthcare industry is in a crisis courtesy of an aging population, understaffing, and a convoluted bureaucracy. The Elsevier’s Clinician of the Future survey for 2025 noted that nearly one in three (28%) of clinicians said they did not have enough time to deliver quality care to each patient!

AI can fix much of this.

Already Americans are turning to AI chatbots like ChatGPT or Grok for self-diagnosis. And this is not some random “blip” driven by the novelty of AI technology: according to the same survey we just mentioned, 51% of healthcare professionals believe patients will self-diagnose using online tools rather than seeing clinicians in just 2-3 years’ time. Moreover, only 32% of clinicians felt their organizations provided adequate access to AI tools and technologies.

Put another way, less that one in three clinicians even have access to AI. Adoption and integration are in only the second or third inning. The global AI healthcare industry is expected to increase more than five-fold from $26 billion today to over $187 billion in 2030.

Already there are small cap AI companies with technologies that can map individual human genomes to design tailored cancer treatments, rapidly detail and organize doctor/ patient conversations key bullet points, and even planning neurosurgery.

Some publicly traded healthcare companies that are developing or integrating AI into their pre-existing businesses that are worth considering…

Exscientia plc (NASDAQ: EXAI) AI-driven drug discovery. 

EXAI uses AI to design and develop drug candidates, notably creating the first AI-designed molecule to enter clinical trials. Its platform accelerates drug discovery for conditions like renal cell carcinoma and non-small cell lung cancer. 

Medtronic plc (NYSE: MDT) AI in medical devices and surgical systems. 

MDT integrates AI into its GI Genius endoscopy module to detect colorectal polyps in real-time and collaborates with Vizient for AI-powered surgical video analytics to improve outcomes. 

Boston Scientific Corporation (NYSE: BSX) AI-driven health IT and medical education tools. 

BSX invests in AI to streamline healthcare delivery, optimize clinical outcomes, and enhance patient engagement through advanced systems and medical education tools. 

Becton, Dickinson and Company (NYSE: BDX): AI in medical imaging, diagnostics, and telemedicine. 

BDX uses AI for health IT infrastructure automation, fraud detection, and telemedicine solutions to improve diagnostic precision and patient safety. 

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (NASDAQ: ISRG)  AI in robotic-assisted surgery. 

Known for its da Vinci surgical systems, Intuitive Surgical uses AI to analyze case data and improve surgical precision, with recent launches like an AI-powered digital tool for surgeons. 

And there are many, many more.

So, if you feel you’ve missed out on AI as an investment, you’re very much mistaken. There is tremendous potential (and profits) here. Even a handful of AI-related healthcare plays could generate major returns in the next three to five years.

On that note, we have published a special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About detailing three unique investments designed to profit from the ongoing revolution in AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off on The Coming $187 BILLION Revolution in Healthcare Courtesy of AI

Guess Who’s Been Loading Up On AI Companies?

Posted on July 18, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist

If you think the AI revolution is over, you should know that insiders at many AI firms have been loading up on shares… and they’re not selling, either.

At Phoenix Capital Research, one of the key metrics we track are insider purchases. Insiders might sell shares in their company for any number of reasons… but they only buy for ONE reason: they expect shares to go much higher in the coming weeks and months.

Consider Coreweave (CRVW). Director Glenn Hutchins bought ~$20 million in the company’s shares in early May. Suffice to say, he’s done quite well off this trade. And SEC filings reveal he hasn’t sold a share since.

Do you think he believes the AI revolution is over?

What about Palantir (PLTR)? Director Heather Planishek bought over $1 million worth of PLTR stock on 5/8/25. Here again, a major insider has made a bundle off a carefully timed purchase.

And then there’s RobinHood Markets (HOOD) which uses AI in its interface to help users navigate the app easily.  On 6/17/25 Director Christopher Payne bought ~$2 million worth of HOOD stock. And here again, this high-level insider has made a bundle… and is keeping every share.

My point here is that corporate insiders, the people who know more about their companies’ businesses than anyone are betting big on their firms’ futures. These are just three examples of high-level insiders opening major stakes in their companies. Do you think they’d be doing this if the AI bubble was ending soon?

I don’t.

So, if you missed out on the first wave of the AI revolution (the introduction of LLMs) don’t worry, there’s still PLENTY of opportunities to leverage the impact of AI towards profitable investing.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About detailing three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off on Guess Who’s Been Loading Up On AI Companies?

If You Missed Out on This… Don’t Despair… the REAL Profits Are Coming Soon

Posted on July 16, 2025 by Phoenix Capital Research

If you’ve missed out on the first phase of the AI revolution, do not despair.

Major technological changes occur in two waves:

  1. The buildout/ adoption.
  2. The integration/ profits.

Think back to the internet revolution. At that time, big telecom companies spent over $1 trillion building out the networks. Many investors believed that THIS was the most important phase of the revolution and piled into telecom stocks, hoping not to miss out on this exciting new technology.

Telecom stocks ended up going nowhere for years to come. The builders were in fact NOT the companies that benefited the most from the new technology.

Meanwhile, e-commerce plays like Amazon, Google and the like emerged as the true profit generators from the internet, eventually developing almost monopolistic control over their respective industries: AMZN is the largest online retailer in the world while GOOGL controls over 90% of internet searches.

Something similar is going to play out with AI, but instead of it concerning one single sector (telecom) it’s going to apply to every industry: healthcare, energy, tech, construction, housing, even mining.

So, if you feel as if you might have missed out, you are very much mistaken. There are many future market leaders that will emerge in the coming weeks and months: early adopters who integrate AI into their operations to boost profits and increase productivity.

On that note, we just published a new special investment report The AI Plays Your Broker Doesn’t Know About detailing three unique investments designed to profit from the revolution in physical AI. Best of all, Wall Street has little to no idea these companies even exist, let alone their potential.

We are making just 99 copies available to the general public. To pick up yours…

CLICK HERE NOW!!!

Best Regards

Graham Summers, MBA

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Posted in AI | Comments Off on If You Missed Out on This… Don’t Despair… the REAL Profits Are Coming Soon